Let’s be honest here, there are only two draftable QBs left in these rankings; RGIII and Luck. Unless you’re in a 12 team league there is absolutely no reason to draft any QB’s lower than them. I ranked 23-32 just to be complete but the order is really irrelevant because they are all equally bad choices. With that said, let’s get started.
21. Andrew Luck: I’m one of the few people around that thinks that Luck will be a better fantasy QB this year than RGIII. Luck is as athletic as Griffin, he played in a pro-style offense in college and has better weapons around him than RGIII (Reggie Wayne is still a very good receiver and the Colts went out and drafted him college teammate Coby Fleener and another TE in Dwayne Allen). I expect Luck to take care of the ball this year and stay healthy; both of which I can’t say about Griffin. I wouldn’t be surprised if Luck finished as a top 15 QB, depending on if he can get any type of running game to keep defenses honest. If you draft Aaron Rodgers or any other elite QB, Andrew Luck could be an ideal backup QB. Luck will be playing hard at the end of the year while your normally starting QB might be preparing for the playoffs if their team has clinched a playoff spot.
22. Robert Griffin III: The three biggest red-flags that I see when I look at college QB’s are: durability issues, bad pocket presence and if they played in a wide open spread offence. RGIII could qualify for all three of those issues (durability issues are debatable due to him missing all but 3 games in 2009 due to an ACL tear but not missing any games in 2010 or 2011). His pocket presence is borderline bad and his running ability is over-rated (a 4.3 rushing average in his college career, lower than Newton, Vick and Luck). I’m not saying that Griffin will be a bust but it will take him some time to get use to running an NFL offense which does hurt his fantasy value this year. Someone is no-doubt going to reach for RGIII in your draft and take him in the top 15 of QBs drafted so you will really have to reach to get him. I recommend you wait for Luck rather than reach for Griffin.
23. Sam Bradford: He looked so promising last year after his 3500+ yard passing rookie season but instead produced the worst sophomore lump in recent memory. I have a hunch that he will turn it around but don’t waste a pick on him.
24. Ryan Fitzpatrick: A very good start for Fitzy and an equally awful 2nd half of the year. I think he’ll play like he did during the second half of the season. Sorry Bills fans.
25. Matt Flynn: If the guy can’t separate from Tavaris Jackson in camp I don’t have much faith in him. I wouldn’t be surprised if Russell Wilson ended up stealing this job.
26. Matt Cassel: Cassel managed to have a negative point output week 2 last year against DET. That is quite an accomplishment.
27. ARZ- QB: You would think that some QB on that roster would be able to put up some decent numbers on a team with that many weapons. If someone does manage to have a good game I would definitely pick them up off waivers just in case.
28. NYJ-QB: Mark Sanchez was the 10th best fantasy QB last year. Tim Tebow was the 18th best fantasy QB last year. They’re going to split time this year and end up where they belong.
29. MIA-QB: Matt Moore showed promise last year but Tannehill will be given the job at some point. They are undraftable but one could end up making some wavier-wire noise.
30. TEN- QB: I see Locker getting the job at some point due to Hasselbeck struggling or getting hurt. Once that happens Locker might be of use.
31. CLE- Brandon Weeden: If the Browns had any decent receivers I could see him being a top-20 QB. If Dalton could do it in that division last year, Weeden could do it this year.
32. Blaine Gabbert: He played the majority of the season and only recorded double digit fantasy points 3 times (10, 14 and 12 points were those 3 times). I’ve seen Lingerie Football League QBs with more promise.