Vikings opening 2024 win total prediction (Quarterback uncertainty driving projections)

Dec 24, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings head coach Kevin O'Connell celebrates
Dec 24, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings head coach Kevin O'Connell celebrates | Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Vikings had to deal with a host of injuries in 2023 that held down the team’s win total, but as the team begins in a transition into a new era after Kirk Cousins signed with the Falcons, the team’s win total is lower than the prior yet. 

With the team’s No. 1 quarterback in somewhat question with Sam Darnold currently at the top of the depth chart but the team possibly selecting one in the 2024 NFL Draft. However, the team has a modest win total, expected to go below .500, currently set at 6.5, but shaded towards the over. 

The Vikings were in the mix for a Wild Card berth for much of the season despite an early season injury to Justin Jefferson and season ending one to Kirk Cousins, proving the strength of the team around head coach Kevin O’Connell and defensive coordinator Brian Flores. Even with a stopgap quarterback in Darnold, the team may be far more competitive than oddsmakers expect. 

With a healthy Jefferson at wide receiver, and an emerging defense, as well as a high first round pick, Minnesota will likely be better by the end of the month following the NFL Draft and primed to contend.

However, the NFC North is likely to be as good as any division in the NFC in 2024. The Lions are a year removed from a conference championship game appearance, the Packers have its quarterback of the future in Jordan Love, and the Bears are poised to select Caleb Williams with the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft. 

Oddsmakers are expecting  a lean year from Minnesota, but if you think differently, make sure to bet at FanDuel Sportsbook, who is giving new users that win their first bet $150 in bonus bets! Get started below. 

Minnesota Vikings 2024 Win Total

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Schedule